Bank of Japan: Japanese companies expect consumer prices to rise by 2.3% in three years, compared with 2.3% in the previous survey; Japanese companies expect consumer prices to rise by 2.2% in five years, compared with 2.2% in the last survey.Japanese and Korean stock markets opened lower, with the Nikkei 225 index down 0.56% at 39,624.05. South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 0.3% to 2,473.75 points.Li Tie's family members were not present at the trial today, and the verdict in the first instance of Li Tie's case will start at 8:30 on time today. It is understood that after the trial today, it will directly enter the sentencing procedure, and the presiding judge will read the verdict and then ask the parties whether to appeal. Besides, apart from the defense lawyer, Li Tie's family did not come to the scene. (CCTV)
The A-share financing balance hit a new high of more than 9 years, and the big consumption sector broke out. According to china securities journal, on December 12, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends.CICC: Cloud and terminal AI landing In 2025, the localization of semiconductors and components ushered in a new cycle. According to CICC's research report, in 2024, semiconductors and components as a whole were in the upward stage of prosperity. It is expected that inventory, supply and demand will stabilize in 2025, and AI cloud and terminal demand will land, and domestic elements will usher in a new cycle. It is expected that in 2025, the AI replacement tide is expected to accelerate the downstream demand growth of the semiconductor design sector. We are optimistic about the demand expansion of cloud and end-side computing chips driven by AI, and the alpha level of individual stocks is optimistic about the pull of product structure expansion on the performance of related companies, and it is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities brought by mergers and acquisitions for some tracks. It is expected that the supply and demand of chip manufacturing will approach a balance in 2025, and the capacity utilization rate will remain at a reasonable level; Among them, the research and development of advanced process manufacturing is expected to continue to advance, driving the development of equipment, parts, materials and design tools.Yuejiang: It is planned to sell about 40 million H shares globally through the IPO of Hong Kong stocks. It is expected to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 23, and Yuejiang announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 13 that the company plans to sell about 40 million H shares globally, with Hong Kong public offering accounting for 5% and international offering accounting for 95%. The offer price will not be higher than HK$ 20.80 per offering share, and it is currently expected to be not lower than HK$ 18.80 per offering share, with 200 shares per lot. It is expected that the shares will start trading on the Stock Exchange at 9: 00 am on Monday, December 23, 2024, Hong Kong time.
Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Employees hide $154 million in accounts. Macy's said that internal control was ineffective. On Thursday, Macy's said that a reassessment of its financial situation showed that as of February this year, the internal control (including proper record maintenance) of the chain department store was not effective. The retailer launched an evaluation at the end of November after discovering that an employee had concealed as much as $154 million in expenses for many years. Therefore, the company postponed the release of the third quarter earnings report until December 11th. Macy's said that under the supervision of the board of directors, Tony Spring, its CEO, and Adrian Mitchell, its chief financial officer, re-evaluated the effectiveness of internal control, and pointed out that its financial report was not effective as of February 3 due to major defects. The department store chain said that it is implementing changes to improve internal control and make up for major defects.The market demand for large-size OLEDs has significantly improved, and the industrial chain has made great efforts to break through bottlenecks such as materials. According to the Securities Daily, on December 12th, Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. officially launched the new MatePad Pro, which uses a 13.2-inch large-size flexible OLED screen. "In recent years, the application scenarios of OLED screens have become more and more extensive, especially the application of large-size OLED screens has shown a rapid growth trend, which will drive the relevant needs of the industrial chain." Ding Bingzhong, a partner of Shanghai Jimao Asset Management Co., Ltd., said in an interview. In the industry's view, the shipments of large-size OLED panels are rising, mainly due to the growing demand for artificial intelligence, games and high-end laptops. The continuous expansion of large-size OLED applications will also drive the demand for OLED materials to increase. "It should be noted that at present, China's OLED materials have not been fully localized, especially the localization rate of terminal materials is still relatively low." Ding Bingzhong said.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14